President: Republican primary, Iowa, 2024 avg. Among Mr. DeSantiss supporters, however, less than a third said their minds were made up. Candidates try to clear GOP debate fundraising hurdles. In the days before the indictment, Trump led DeSantis 38% to 20%. Republishing the copyright Iowa Poll without credit to The Des Moines Register, NBC News and Mediacom is prohibited. An initial sample of 2,953 randomly selected Iowans was screened for some questions to find those who will definitely or probably attend the 2024 Republican caucuses. Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. The survey, conducted by The Des Moines Register, NBC News and Mediacom before and after Mr. Trumps latest indictment in Georgia, found that 42 percent of Republican voters in the state planned to support Mr. Trump, who held a lead of 23 percentage points over Gov. Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina is at 9%. Im not a dyed-in-the-wool Trump fan, Goodenough said. Here's how they may collide with the campaign calendar. The Iowa Poll is carefully constructed to ensure that it is accurate. Florida speaks for itself in how successful theyve been, he said. All quotes delayed a minimum of 15 minutes. The poll found 65% of likely Republican caucusgoers didn't think Trump had committed serious crimes, compared with the 26% who believed he had. Williams, a semi-retired paramedic, said Scott is currently his second-choice candidate. Marchand is steadfast in his support for Trump in the current election cycle. The Florida governor is viewed favorably by 66% of likely GOP caucusgoers and unfavorably by 29%. The NBC News-Des Moines Register-Mediacom poll, released ahead of this weeks first Republican debate, found that 42 percent of likely GOP caucus-goers say Trump is their first pick, followed by Florida Gov. When are the Iowa caucuses? Great question. - POLITICO Follow her on Twitter at @brianneDMR. Response rates are in the low single-digits. Polling Data. Trumps best showing is among self-identified Republicans, with 77% viewing him favorably and 21% viewing him unfavorably. The poll finds many indicators of Trumps strength, but the race is not settled and may be closer than it may first seem, said J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., the firm that conducted the poll. Businessman Ryan Binkley, conservative radio host Larry Elder, former Arkansas Gov. Kim Reynolds in Davenport and Des Moines Friday, is viewed favorably by 74% of Iowa Republicans just behind Trumps 80%. More:Trump is wrestling with 5 big legal cases. REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein/File Photo, Storm brewing in Gulf of Mexico to strengthen en route to Texas. Questions based on the sample of 406 voters likely to attend the 2024 Iowa Republican caucuses have a maximum margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points. Exclusive news, data and analytics for financial market professionals, Republican presidential candidate and former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks as he campaigns at the Iowa State Fair in Des Moines, Iowa, U.S. August 12, 2023. Even as Trump faces mounting legal troubles, his support appears only to grow. While Republicans will still recognize Iowa as first in the nation, the national. Social media, emails or text messages are less secure. Then, 69% of Iowa Republicans said they would definitely vote for Trump in the 2024 general election 22 percentage points more than say the same today and another 15% said they would. In addition, just 7% of poll respondents say they are considering only one candidate for president. Still, he plans to support someone else in the caucuses. Doug Burgum, who is at 2%, and former U.S. Rep. Will Hurd, who has 1%. A new poll of Iowa Republicans reinforces Trump's 2024 strength Former New Jersey Gov. He said DeSantis is his top choice for president, followed by Scott. Among those who say they will be attending their first caucus in January, Trump leads the Florida governor 47% to 18%. Still, five candidates remained in the race on Super Tuesday in March, and Trump did not become the presumptive nominee. The 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses will be held on January 15, 2024, [1] as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. DeSantis, the candidate in second place, received 16 percent of support. The first-in-the-nation caucuses will take place on Jan. 15, 2024, the earliest nominating contest in Iowa since 2012, when it held the caucuses the first week of January. The question is relevant in a caucus cycle where Republicans are already beginning to discuss electability and who would be best positioned to take on Democratic President Joe Biden, who is expected to seek a second term. Poll respondent Alex Barry, a 31-year-old Cedar Rapids Republican, said he views Trump very favorably and would vote for him in a general election, but he worries that Trump, 76, would fail to gain necessary support. The Florida governor has higher favorability ratings with independents than Trump: 52% view him favorably, and 43% view him unfavorably. Roughly two-thirds of likely Republican Iowa caucusgoers said in a new poll that former President Trump has not committed serious crimes, despite multiple indictments. Just 58% of Iowa evangelicals the group consistently showing the most support for Republicans and seemingly one of Pences most natural constituencies say they have favorable feelings toward him. This means that if this survey were repeated using the same questions and the same methodology, 19 times out of 20, the findings would not vary from the true population value by more than plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Mr. DeSantis, the second-place finisher in those results, garnered support from 16 percent of voters. Facebook: PresElectionCentralTwitter: @PresElectNewsYouTube: Election CentralRumble: USPEN, Iowa President Republican Caucus: 2024 Polls. For now, we have a track record of accuracy. as well as other partner offers and accept our. Id love to see that transfer to the rest of our country.. The short answer is that phone interviews work best. The latest poll numbers for the 2024 Iowa Republican Caucus. Haley, the former governor of South Carolina and Trumps ambassador to the United Nations, was also in Iowa this week, holding events in Council Bluffs, Nevada and Des Moines. But Trump's commanding lead shrinks when you drill down further into the data. DeSantis overall favorability numbers are about on par with Trumps. More:Nikki Haley is carving a lane in the Iowa caucuses as Donald Trump looms. There's nothing locked in about Iowa for Donald Trump.. Scott is in second with 15 percent and Ramaswamy with 12 percent. DeSantis support includes the 19% who name him as their first choice, 20% who say he is their second choice and 22% who say they are actively considering him totaling 61%. Interestingly, Reynolds is still by far the most popular figure in the state among Republicans. Polling averages by G. Elliott Morris. Self-identified independents who say they will likely caucus with Republicans make up 25% of the polls respondents. The Registerdiscloses the exact questions thatinterviewers ask respondents. The field including first, second, and actively considering then becomes Trump (64%), DeSantis (61%), Tim Scott (53%), former UN ambassador Nikki Haley (40%), entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy (34%), and former Vice President Mike Pence at 32%. We can't win with just us. No. That includes numbers called back when previous attempts showed no answer, so its not 100,000 different phone numbers. Pence has the highest unfavorable rating of the four politicians tested among Iowa Republicans at 26%. Iowa governor signs in-person caucus mandate as 2024 campaign heats up Goodenough, the poll respondent from Guthrie Center, is a pastor and said he was disappointed with Pences handling of the 2020 election and wished the vice president had done more to investigate allegations of fraud. DNC committee rejects Iowa Democrats' caucuses plan All polls below are polls of Iowa residents who can or will be likely to participate in the 2024 Iowa Republican Caucus. Millions of people in the western Canadian province of British Columbia were under air quality warnings on Monday as hundreds of wildfires filled the skies with smoke and turned the sun orange. A grand jury in Georgia indicted Trump Aug. 15 for allegedly attempting to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election there. 3 min. When it's time to write articles on the poll's findings, we break the results into groupings of questions about a particular topic. I am probably more middle of the road with him. The data represent an early test of Iowans feelings toward the growing crop of candidates as they begin the task of vetting and winnowing the field during a busy caucus year. A majority, or 52%, of likely GOP caucusgoers have a first choice for president and say they could still be persuaded to support a different candidate, while 40% say their minds are made up. However, with five months to go, some conservative Iowa voters have suggested they may be willing to choose another candidate. Trump also leads DeSantis among self-identified Republicans, the core of caucusgoers, 51% to 20%. Poll respondent Steven Goodenough, a 72-year-old Republican from Guthrie Center, said he voted for Trump in 2020 and would consider voting for him again in 2024, but hes interested in hearing from the other candidates already making their way to Iowa. | Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images. Another 10% said they might or might not for him, 1% wouldnt vote at all and 1% were unsure. This year's contest is . Navigate: National Polls | Iowa | New Hampshire | South Carolina | Nevada, List of the most recent 2024 Iowa Republican primary polls, Key: A = Adults, RV = Registered Voters, V = Voters, LV = Likely Voters. Donald Trump visits the Iowa Pork Producers Tent at the Iowa State Fair, Aug. 12, 2023, in Des Moines, Iowa. Reuters provides business, financial, national and international news to professionals via desktop terminals, the world's media organizations, industry events and directly to consumers. Iowa Republican caucus-goers love Trump more than ever, even after he attacked their governor: poll. Named and Shamed: The 51 Intel Officials Who Lied About the Hunter Biden Laptop Emails, Full Video: Trump Visits The Iowa State Fair (Aug. 12), Predictive Professor Calls 2024 Election (With Today's Circumstances), Full Video: Tucker Carlson Hosts GOP Presidential Forum From Des Moines, Iowa (July 14). REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein/File Photo Acquire Licensing Rights. Gone are the days when pollsters fanned out across the state to knock on doors and conduct interviews in person. Trump supporters are going to support him no matter what if he's the nominee, Williams said.
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